Anuj Kankani, Sean T. McWilliams

Recently, a distinct non--quasinormal mode component of black hole binary merger radiation, named the direct wave, has been identified. The frequency and damping time of the direct wave have been associated with properties of the remnant horizon. This has led to direct-wave based analysis of GW250114, including a test of Hawking's area law. However, as we demonstrate here using numerical relativity strain data, the direct wave frequency is not correlated with the horizon frequency or surface gravity, other than an incidental crossing around $χ_f \approx 0.7$ corresponding closely to the remnant spin of GW250114. We show that while the instantaneous frequency of the direct wave is quasi-stable, the damping time shows significant evolution and therefore a single damped sinusoid model, containing a fixed damping time, is not appropriate. We further show that an evolving frequency model based on horizon properties also does not model the direct wave component for systems with large remnant spins. We demonstrate that testing Hawking's area law with a horizon frequency based on the direct wave interpretation will lead to apparent violations of Hawking's area law when no violation actually occurs. Our results therefore indicate that the direct wave is not a reliable probe of the remnant horizon's properties.